Crypto · 24/7 · No closing bell
Spot the cycle.
Ride the trend.
Crypto is the only market where retail can spot a multi-year cycle in real-time and ride it. It's also the only market where you can lose 80% in 6 weeks. Both things are true. Both things are predictable.
Market cap
BTC dominance
Fear & Greed
Always open
Market cycles
Four phases.
Always the same.
Crypto runs in 3-4 year cycles, anchored to Bitcoin's halving. Each cycle has the same four phases. Learn to spot which one you're in — that's 80% of the edge.
Accumulation
Smart money quietly buys. Price boring. Volume slowly rising. Sentiment: dead.
6–18 monthsMarkup
Trend breaks. Retail wakes up. FOMO begins. Bitcoin leads, alts follow.
9–18 monthsDistribution
Smart money quietly sells. Retail euphoric. 'This time is different' takes hold.
2–6 monthsMarkdown
Trend breaks down. Capitulation. -70% drawdowns. Sentiment: dead again.
9–18 monthsSentiment gauge
Fear & Greed.
One number, 0–100. Aggregated from price action, volatility, momentum, social sentiment, BTC dominance, and survey data.
Today: Greed — momentum building, but be wary of FOMO entries above 75.
Below 20 — Extreme Fear
Historic buying zone. March 2020 hit 8. November 2022 hit 18. Both = generational bottoms.
20–55 — Fear to Neutral
Cautious. Accumulation zone. Risk-on slowly building.
55–75 — Greed
Markup phase. Trend traders happy. New entrants — be careful with size.
75+ — Extreme Greed
Historic distribution. Reduce exposure. April 2021 hit 95. November 2021 hit 92. Both = cycle tops.
Heatmap
Top coins · 24h.
Top 8
The coins we cover most.
| Coin | Cap | Dominance | 24h |
|---|---|---|---|
BTCBitcoin | $1.34T | 54% | +2.18% |
ETHEthereum | $395B | 16% | +1.46% |
SOLSolana | $84B | 3.4% | +4.82% |
BNBBNB | $92B | 3.7% | −0.42% |
XRPRipple | $31B | 1.2% | +0.18% |
DOGEDogecoin | $21B | 0.9% | +8.41% |
ADACardano | $16B | 0.6% | −1.20% |
AVAXAvalanche | $14B | 0.6% | +3.12% |
Concepts
What you need to know.
Spot vs futures
Spot = own the coin. Futures = bet on price without owning. Futures = leverage = liquidation risk. EU: capped at 2:1 retail.
BTC dominance
BTC's % of total crypto market cap. Rising = BTC season. Falling = altcoin season. Watch it weekly.
Fear & Greed
Index from 0 (extreme fear) to 100 (extreme greed). 0–20 = historic buy zones. 80+ = historic sell zones. Not gospel, but signal.
On-chain basics
Exchange inflows = sellers preparing. Long-term-holder supply = HODL strength. MVRV = how overvalued vs realized cap.
Don't trade the
noise.
10 modules, 5.8 hours. Cycle reading, on-chain basics, altcoin rotation, futures risk. Everything you need to stop being exit liquidity.